{"id":529,"date":"2025-04-25T13:57:58","date_gmt":"2025-04-25T13:57:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oneroyal.academy\/?p=529"},"modified":"2025-06-27T12:27:12","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T12:27:12","slug":"fundamental-analysis-for-commodities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/learn-the-markets\/fundamental-analysis-for-commodities\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n cho h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hai t\u1eeb quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t khi giao d\u1ecbch h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a l\u00e0:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 l\u00fd do l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00e3y c\u00f9ng t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u s\u00e2u h\u01a1n nh\u00e9\u2026<\/p>\n<h2>C\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a<\/h2>\n<p>Ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00f3m h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a th\u00e0nh ba lo\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a m\u1ec1m<\/strong>, l\u00e0 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p nh\u01b0:<br \/>\nB\u00f4ng, C\u00e0 ph\u00ea, Ca cao, L\u00faa m\u00ec, \u0110\u1eadu n\u00e0nh<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kim lo\u1ea1i<\/strong>, bao g\u1ed3m:<br \/>\nV\u00e0ng, B\u1ea1c, \u0110\u1ed3ng, B\u1ea1ch kim<\/li>\n<li><strong>N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng<\/strong>, nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i l\u1edbn:<br \/>\nD\u1ea7u WTI, D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 Brent, Kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3>H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a m\u1ec1m (N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p)<\/h3>\n<p>\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng v\u00e0 c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o <strong>th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>C\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a b\u1ed9i thu kh\u00f4ng? C\u00f3 h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n kh\u00f4ng? C\u00f3 l\u0169 l\u1ee5t kh\u00f4ng?<br \/>\nB\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ecm th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c b\u1ea3n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb <strong>B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Hoa K\u1ef3 (USDA)<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>C\u0169ng, <strong>nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o<\/strong> s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eefng m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y?<br \/>\nL\u1ea5y <strong>h\u1ea1t c\u00e0 ph\u00ea<\/strong>, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh bao g\u1ed3m:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Brazil, Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Colombia, Indonesia<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>H\u00e3y t\u1ef1 h\u1ecfi m\u00ecnh:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>C\u00f3 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<li>C\u00f3 l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<li>N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>V\u00ed d\u1ee5<\/em>: Khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t trong <strong>Ukraina<\/strong> (m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u00faa m\u00ec l\u1edbn) b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, ngu\u1ed3n cung l\u00faa m\u00ec to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt.<\/p>\n<p>Sau \u0111\u00f3 nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o <strong>y\u00eau c\u1ea7u<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>C\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i m\u1ee9c ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<li>C\u00f3 c\u00f4ng d\u1ee5ng m\u1edbi n\u00e0o cho h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Kim lo\u1ea1i<\/h3>\n<p>H\u1ecfi:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m g\u00ec?<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111ang t\u0103ng hay gi\u1ea3m?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Kim lo\u1ea1i c\u00f3 hai vai tr\u00f2 ch\u00ednh:<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. Kim lo\u1ea1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>V\u00e0ng<\/strong> l\u00e0 n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n c\u1ed5 \u0111i\u1ec3n.<\/li>\n<li>Trong th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn, suy tho\u00e1i ho\u1eb7c b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn n\u01a1i an to\u00e0n.<\/li>\n<li>C\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c bao g\u1ed3m: USD, JPY, CHF v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean l\u00e0 v\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u201cKhi th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 v\u1ebb b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ecfa s\u00e1ng.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Kim lo\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng<\/strong> l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5 tuy\u1ec7t v\u1eddi c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cTi\u1ebfn s\u0129 \u0110\u1ed3ng\u201d v\u00ec m\u1ed1i li\u00ean h\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf.<\/li>\n<li>N\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng trong x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng, \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ki\u1ec3m tra ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u1ea5p:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ai khai th\u00e1c kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y?<\/li>\n<li>C\u00f3 \u0111\u00ecnh c\u00f4ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ho\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd n\u00e0o \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ngu\u1ed3n cung kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (D\u1ea7u kh\u00ed)<\/h3>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u00e0y <strong>l\u00e1i xe th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/strong>theo ngh\u0129a \u0111en v\u00e0 ngh\u0129a kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<p>H\u1ecfi:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ai s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t?<\/li>\n<li>Chuy\u1ec7n g\u00ec \u0111ang x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng Trung \u0110\u00f4ng<\/strong>? Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a Nga<\/strong> ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 b\u1edfi l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t trong chi\u1ebfn tranh Ukraine.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 <strong>OPEC<\/strong>, T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c tr\u1ea1m x\u0103ng v\u00e0 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, <strong>y\u00eau c\u1ea7u<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<li>Ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<li>C\u00e1c h\u00e3ng h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 bay nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<li>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y c\u00f3 \u0111ang t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0o th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5, nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng cao.<br \/>\nKhi kinh t\u1ebf suy tho\u00e1i, nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n<h3>Suy ngh\u0129 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng:<\/h3>\n<p>Khi n\u00f3i \u0111\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a, h\u00e3y lu\u00f4n quay l\u1ea1i:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u.<\/strong><br \/>\n<em>\u0110\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Two Most Important Words when it comes to trading commodities are: Supply and Demand! That\u2019s what moves commodity prices plain and simple. Let\u2019s dive in&#8230; Types of Commodities We can group commodities into three main categories: Soft Commodities, are agricultural goods like: Cotton, Coffee, Cocoa, Wheat, Soybeans Metals, including: Gold, Silver, Copper, Platinum Energies, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1557,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-learn-the-markets"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=529"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/529\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":530,"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/529\/revisions\/530"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1557"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oneroyal.academy\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}